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Sell-Off of Stocks Deepens as Concerns Grow Around Ukraine - The New York Times

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S&P 500

Feb. 16

Feb. 17

4,380

4,400

4,420

4,440

4,460

4,480

Data delayed at least 15 minutes

Source: FactSet

By: Ella Koeze

Stocks slid on Thursday, extending a volatile stretch of trading brought on by uncertainty about inflation, rising interest rates and the potential for war in Europe.

The S&P 500 fell 2.1 percent, dropping into negative territory for the week, while the Nasdaq composite fell 2.9 percent.

Tech companies were some of the worst performers, with Meta, Facebook’s parent, down more than 4 percent. Alphabet, Google’s parent, fell 3.8 percent, and Microsoft was down 2.9 percent.

Tesla, one of the largest companies in the S&P 500, dropped 5.1 percent. The main auto-safety regulator in the United States said it was investigating reports from Tesla’s customers of “phantom braking” when they were using their vehicles’ driver-assistance system.

Shares of banks also fell, with Morgan Stanley dropping 5 percent and Wells Fargo losing 3.4 percent.

The prospect that President Vladimir V. Putin will order a Russian invasion of Ukraine has weighed on global markets. On Tuesday, the stock market rose after Russian officials announced a partial troop withdrawal from the Ukrainian border. But President Biden said on Thursday that the possibility of an invasion remained “very high,” and shelling between Ukraine and Russia-backed separatists spiked, raising concerns that the conflict was heating up.

“Markets are concerned about the Russian troop buildup and a lack of trust in Putin’s declaration that they are beginning to remove troops from the region,” said Chris Zaccarelli, the chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance, an investment advisory firm.

Investors have also been anticipating that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates as it looks to fight persistently high inflation. Raising the Fed’s policy rate can lead to higher interest rates for houses and cars, causing spending to slow and inflation to moderate. But it also can increase the return on bonds, making riskier investments like stocks less appealing.

Minutes released on Wednesday from the Fed’s January meeting showed that most officials agreed that they might need to withdraw their support for the economy even more quickly if inflation does not cool down as they expect. Investors are now anticipating that the Fed’s policy rate could rise to more than 1.75 percent by the end of the year, up from nearly zero.

Yields on the 10-year Treasury note, which last week crossed 2 percent for the first time since 2019, fell about eight basis points, or 0.08 percentage points, to about 1.96 percent. Yields fall as prices for bonds rise, which happens when investors buy them as they move money out of riskier investments like stocks.

But the broad nature of Thursday’s sell-off pointed to more than one trigger. Oil has been trading at prices not seen since 2014, and an invasion by Russia, a big oil producer and Europe’s largest supplier of natural gas, would almost certainly push energy prices higher. But on Thursday, oil fell, with West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude benchmark, down 2 percent, to $91.76 a barrel. Natural gas fell more than 4 percent.

“The concerns for growth going forward and recession risks are new to traders’ minds,” said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA. “There’s a lot of fear that the optimistic growth outlook for 2023 is up in the air.”

Markets have been volatile for months, with concerns about the Omicron variant’s impact on the economy in November and December bleeding into uncertainty in January and February about persistently high inflation and how the Fed will react to it. Thursday’s drop was the S&P 500’s worst day in only two weeks, and if the index ends this week in the red it will be its fifth weekly drop just seven weeks into the year. The index is down 8.7 percent since its Jan. 3 high. The Nasdaq composite peaked on Nov. 19, just before the Omicron variant was disclosed, and is down 14.6 percent since then.

The consumer staples sector was one of the few that did not fall on Thursday. Walmart was one of the best-performing companies in the S&P 500, climbing 4 percent after it reported that its revenue rose to $152.9 billion, up 0.5 percent in the three months ending in January from a year earlier. The company also said that sales across its U.S. business increased 5.7 percent to about $105 billion in the quarter.

AutoNation fell 3.8 percent, as the company’s chief executive said it was difficult to forecast whether it could sustain its current high profit levels in 2022. The company reported on Thursday a profit of $387 million in its latest quarter, more than double its profit from a year earlier, while revenue rose 14 percent to $6.6 billion.

In Europe, stock indexes edged lower. The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.7 percent on Thursday. Asian markets closed mixed.

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